First Alert Forecast: Tracking more developing storms and for now the trades hold

News admin August 28, 2026 0 Comments

First Alert Forecast: Tracking more developing storms and for now the trades hold

HONOLULU (HawaiiNewsNow) – It’s looking like a pretty quiet stretch of weather for Hawaii over the next several days.

But first alerts…. new storms have developed over the Pacific… and we are keeping a close eye on Lowell…. and what may be developing behind it.

Moderate to locally breezy trade winds will continue through the weekend and into early next week, while dry and stable conditions remain the main story.

We’ll still see the usual summertime pattern of a few quick-moving showers, mainly during the morning over windward and mauka areas.

Rainfall has been light so far, with most areas picking up only a few hundredths of an inch. Leeward areas will stay mostly sunny.

The trades could get a little stronger into early next week, with gusts around 25 to 30 mph common in the usual windy spots, including higher terrain and some valleys and slopes.

Looking ahead, the pattern may turn wetter around the middle of next week as deeper moisture moves in and the upper-level ridge weakens.

And we’re watching the tropics. And two more storms have developed. The tracks of these two storms MAY influence each other — with Karina forecasted to be a Cat 2 or 3 …. and that may slow Lowell down or deflect its current path, so we have to wait and see. And behind this the National Hurricane Center is monitoring two more areas of thunderstorms between 100 and 140 degrees west, with a higher chance of tropical development late this week or over the weekend. Forecast models are still having a tough time agreeing on how these systems will develop and where they might go. For now, there’s a lot of uncertainty, and none of these systems poses an immediate threat to Hawaii within the next week, but we will have to pay close attention to it all as it unfolds day by day.

For the beaches, south shore surf will bump up today and Friday as a small, long-period south-southwest swell arrives.

Some of the biggest sets could briefly approach high-surf-advisory levels, but most surf should remain just below that threshold. The swell will fade through the weekend, with another similar south swell possible by the middle to latter part of next week.

East shore surf will remain rough and choppy thanks to the trades, with a small east swell from former Tropical Storm Iselle arriving Friday, peaking Saturday and then gradually fading.

North shore surf remains tiny to flat.

And with dry air and breezy trades continuing, fire weather concerns remain elevated through the weekend, especially in areas that are already dry

View the latest weather conditions here.

Download the HNN Weather app from the Apple App Store or Google Play for the latest updates from your First Alert Weather Team: chief meteorologist Jennifer Robbins and weather anchors Guy Hagi, Dan Cooke, Ben Gutierrez, and Billy V.